The House of Representatives passed a bipartisan funding bill Thursday, April 30, restoring appropriations for most Department of Homeland Security operations including TSA and disaster relief, after Senate approval over a month prior, effectively ending the record 76-day partial government shutdown stemming from immigration enforcement disputes. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on resolution by May 3 reflects confidence in imminent presidential signature, as President Trump is expected to sign promptly amid pressure to avert further disruptions. This commanding pricing underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk, with historical precedent showing quick enactment post-Congressional passage. Realistic challenges include an unlikely veto or signing delays, but bipartisan support minimizes such risks ahead of the bill's transmission to the White House.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhen will the DHS shutdown end?
When will the DHS shutdown end?
April 27-May 3 100.0%
April 16-19 <1%
April 20-26 <1%
May 4-10 <1%
$51,482 ปริมาณ
$51,482 ปริมาณ
April 16-19
No
April 20-26
No
April 27-May 3
Yes
May 4-10
No
May 11-17
No
May 18-24
No
May 25-31
No
June 1-7
No
June 8-14
No
June 15-21
No
June 22-28
No
June 29-July 5
No
July 6-12
No
July 13-19
No
July 20-26
No
July 27-31
No
After July 31
No
April 27-May 3 100.0%
April 16-19 <1%
April 20-26 <1%
May 4-10 <1%
$51,482 ปริมาณ
$51,482 ปริมาณ
April 16-19
No
April 20-26
No
April 27-May 3
Yes
May 4-10
No
May 11-17
No
May 18-24
No
May 25-31
No
June 1-7
No
June 8-14
No
June 15-21
No
June 22-28
No
June 29-July 5
No
July 6-12
No
July 13-19
No
July 20-26
No
July 27-31
No
After July 31
No
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The House of Representatives passed a bipartisan funding bill Thursday, April 30, restoring appropriations for most Department of Homeland Security operations including TSA and disaster relief, after Senate approval over a month prior, effectively ending the record 76-day partial government shutdown stemming from immigration enforcement disputes. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on resolution by May 3 reflects confidence in imminent presidential signature, as President Trump is expected to sign promptly amid pressure to avert further disruptions. This commanding pricing underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing political risk, with historical precedent showing quick enactment post-Congressional passage. Realistic challenges include an unlikely veto or signing delays, but bipartisan support minimizes such risks ahead of the bill's transmission to the White House.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย