Texas's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Keith Self facing Democrat Evan Hunt. Self secured the GOP nomination easily in the March primary after winning 62.5 percent in 2024, while Hunt advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The district delivered 60.3 percent for Donald Trump in the last presidential contest and carries consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. These structural factors, combined with limited Democratic investment in the race, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 85 percent implied probability. No significant shifts from polling, endorsements, or candidate developments have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-03 House Election Winner
$14,752 ปริมาณ
$14,752 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
12%
$14,752 ปริมาณ
$14,752 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Representative Keith Self facing Democrat Evan Hunt. Self secured the GOP nomination easily in the March primary after winning 62.5 percent in 2024, while Hunt advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The district delivered 60.3 percent for Donald Trump in the last presidential contest and carries consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. These structural factors, combined with limited Democratic investment in the race, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 85 percent implied probability. No significant shifts from polling, endorsements, or candidate developments have altered the outlook in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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