Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-03 House Election Winner
TX-03 House Election Winner
$13,591 ปริมาณ
$13,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
15%
$13,591 ปริมาณ
$13,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,666 ปริมาณ
84%
Democratic Party
$5,925 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's unchallenged victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 84.5% implied probability to retain TX-03, a suburban North Texas district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Self, who secured double-digit margins in prior general elections, faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force combat veteran who won his uncontested primary. The district's strong Republican lean, bolstered by 2025 redistricting adding conservative rural areas, underpins the pricing amid absent recent polling or catalysts. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm turnout and any late scandals remain key uncertainties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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