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$506,773 ปริมาณ

Nov 5, 2024
Polymarket

$506,773 ปริมาณ

Polymarket

Macomb, MI (Detroit)

$49,193 ปริมาณ

Trump

Erie, PA

$222,348 ปริมาณ

Trump

Pinellas, FL (Tampa Bay)

$20,443 ปริมาณ

Trump

Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix)

$109,675 ปริมาณ

Trump

Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)

$23,049 ปริมาณ

Harris

Bucks, PA (Philly)

$26,651 ปริมาณ

Trump

Clark, NV (Las Vegas)

$55,412 ปริมาณ

Harris

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Erie county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Pinellas county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Maricopa county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Kent county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Bucks county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Clark county vote tally.

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$506,773
วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2024
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2024, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Trump

ไม่มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Trump

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Erie county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Pinellas county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Maricopa county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Kent county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Bucks county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Clark county vote tally.

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$506,773
วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2024
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2024, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Trump

ไม่มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Trump

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Who will win each swing district?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 7 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)" ที่ 100% ตามด้วย "Clark, NV (Las Vegas)" ที่ 100% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 100¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "Who will win each swing district?" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $506.8K ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Sep 19, 2024 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "Who will win each swing district?" ดู 7 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Who will win each swing district?" คือ "Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)" ที่ 100% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "Clark, NV (Las Vegas)" ที่ 100% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Who will win each swing district?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้