Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$19,222 ปริมาณ
$19,222 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$19,222 ปริมาณ
$19,222 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,222วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,222วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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