$776,340 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2025
June 30
No
July 10
No
July 20
No
August 1
No
August 15
No
August 22
No
August 24
No
August 25
No
August 26
Yes
August 27
Yes
August 31
Yes
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
No
Super Heavy booster explodes?
Yes
Successful splash down?
Yes
$776,340 ปริมาณ
June 30
$23,112 ปริมาณ
No
July 10
$30,256 ปริมาณ
No
July 20
$5,608 ปริมาณ
No
August 1
$6,004 ปริมาณ
No
August 15
$22,377 ปริมาณ
No
August 22
$10,575 ปริมาณ
No
August 24
$32,617 ปริมาณ
No
August 25
$21,704 ปริมาณ
No
August 26
$32,300 ปริมาณ
Yes
August 27
$4,483 ปริมาณ
Yes
August 31
$94,282 ปริมาณ
Yes
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$177,304 ปริมาณ
No
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$146,298 ปริมาณ
Yes
Successful splash down?
$169,421 ปริมาณ
Yes
If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by July 10, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by July 20, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 1, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 22, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 24, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 25, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 26, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 27, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the tenth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the tenth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the tenth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the tenth launch, and this market will stay open until the tenth launch has occurred. If the tenth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the tenth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the tenth launch does not occur by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the tenth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market pertains to the tenth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the tenth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the tenth launch, and this market will stay open until the tenth launch has occurred. If the tenth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 2, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$776,340วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by July 10, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by July 20, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 1, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 15, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 22, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 24, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 25, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 26, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 27, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the tenth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
This market pertains to the tenth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the tenth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the tenth launch, and this market will stay open until the tenth launch has occurred. If the tenth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the tenth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the tenth launch does not occur by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the tenth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market pertains to the tenth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the tenth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the tenth launch, and this market will stay open until the tenth launch has occurred. If the tenth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
If the 10th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$776,340วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย