Polymarket traders show a razor-thin contest for June COMEX silver (SI) settlement, with $70-$80 at 22.9% implied probability narrowly leading $80-$90 at 21.5%, reflecting spot prices breaking above $80/oz on May 8 amid a 7% weekly surge and 6% monthly gain. Surging industrial demand—now over 50% of total usage from photovoltaics, EVs, and AI applications—coupled with COMEX inventory tightness and supply deficits exceeding 180 million ounces since 2024, drives the upward bias, aligning with J.P. Morgan's $81/oz 2026 average forecast. Countervailing risks include inflation shocks curbing factory output and USD strength, keeping $60-$70 viable at 15.3%; upcoming U.S. CPI and China industrial data will be pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSilver (SI) จะตั้งรกรากที่อะไรในเดือนมิถุนายน?
Silver (SI) จะตั้งรกรากที่อะไรในเดือนมิถุนายน?
$70-$80 22.9%
$80-$90 22%
$90-$100 16%
$60-$70 15.3%
$528,144 ปริมาณ
$528,144 ปริมาณ
ต่ำกว่า $50
3%
$50-$60
3%
$60-$70
15%
$70-$80
23%
$80-$90
22%
$90-$100
16%
$100-$115
12%
>$115
9%
$70-$80 22.9%
$80-$90 22%
$90-$100 16%
$60-$70 15.3%
$528,144 ปริมาณ
$528,144 ปริมาณ
ต่ำกว่า $50
3%
$50-$60
3%
$60-$70
15%
$70-$80
23%
$80-$90
22%
$90-$100
16%
$100-$115
12%
>$115
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show a razor-thin contest for June COMEX silver (SI) settlement, with $70-$80 at 22.9% implied probability narrowly leading $80-$90 at 21.5%, reflecting spot prices breaking above $80/oz on May 8 amid a 7% weekly surge and 6% monthly gain. Surging industrial demand—now over 50% of total usage from photovoltaics, EVs, and AI applications—coupled with COMEX inventory tightness and supply deficits exceeding 180 million ounces since 2024, drives the upward bias, aligning with J.P. Morgan's $81/oz 2026 average forecast. Countervailing risks include inflation shocks curbing factory output and USD strength, keeping $60-$70 viable at 15.3%; upcoming U.S. CPI and China industrial data will be pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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