Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting projections showing PQ securing around 59 seats despite recent polls giving the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) a slim vote share lead of 32-33% over PQ's 29-32%. This stems from PQ's stronger regional support outside Montreal, where PLQ dominates, enabling an efficient path to plurality per 338Canada models. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid Premier Christine Fréchette's recent April 15 swearing-in following François Legault's January resignation and a bruising leadership race, collapsing CAQ support to 11-14%. PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard has narrowed the gap since March, but uncertainty persists ahead of the National Assembly's May 5 return.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 50%
PLQ 37%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$445,293 ปริมาณ
$445,293 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
50%
PLQ
37%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
1%
PVQ
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PQ 50%
PLQ 37%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$445,293 ปริมาณ
$445,293 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$46,882 ปริมาณ
50%
PLQ
$52,244 ปริมาณ
37%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$43,834 ปริมาณ
9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$146,717 ปริมาณ
1%
PVQ
$106,954 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$48,662 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting projections showing PQ securing around 59 seats despite recent polls giving the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) a slim vote share lead of 32-33% over PQ's 29-32%. This stems from PQ's stronger regional support outside Montreal, where PLQ dominates, enabling an efficient path to plurality per 338Canada models. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid Premier Christine Fréchette's recent April 15 swearing-in following François Legault's January resignation and a bruising leadership race, collapsing CAQ support to 11-14%. PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard has narrowed the gap since March, but uncertainty persists ahead of the National Assembly's May 5 return.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$445,293วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting projections showing PQ securing around 59 seats despite recent polls giving the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) a slim vote share lead of 32-33% over PQ's 29-32%. This stems from PQ's stronger regional support outside Montreal, where PLQ dominates, enabling an efficient path to plurality per 338Canada models. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid Premier Christine Fréchette's recent April 15 swearing-in following François Legault's January resignation and a bruising leadership race, collapsing CAQ support to 11-14%. PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard has narrowed the gap since March, but uncertainty persists ahead of the National Assembly's May 5 return.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$445,293วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 49.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's general election by October 5, 2026, reflecting projections showing PQ securing around 59 seats despite recent polls giving the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) a slim vote share lead of 32-33% over PQ's 29-32%. This stems from PQ's stronger regional support outside Montreal, where PLQ dominates, enabling an efficient path to plurality per 338Canada models. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid Premier Christine Fréchette's recent April 15 swearing-in following François Legault's January resignation and a bruising leadership race, collapsing CAQ support to 11-14%. PLQ's surge under new leader Charles Milliard has narrowed the gap since March, but uncertainty persists ahead of the National Assembly's May 5 return.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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