Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to claim the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post general election by October 5, 2026, driven by poll aggregators like 338Canada projecting PQ a 64-seat plurality (55-72 range) despite a close popular vote with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 29.5%. Recent Liaison Strategies polling (April 26-28) shows a 32-32 tie overall but PQ dominating francophones at 39% versus PLQ's 21%, bolstering PQ's regional efficiency in rural strongholds. CAQ support lingers at 16% post-Françoise Fréchette's April leadership win and Legault resignation amid low approval, insufficient for recovery. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed gaps, but upcoming debates and turnout among key voting blocs could tip balances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 64%
PLQ 30%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$489,147 ปริมาณ
$489,147 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
64%
PLQ
30%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
1%
PVQ
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PQ 64%
PLQ 30%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$489,147 ปริมาณ
$489,147 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$50,775 ปริมาณ
64%
PLQ
$55,723 ปริมาณ
30%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$55,520 ปริมาณ
9%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$159,370 ปริมาณ
1%
PVQ
$113,039 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$54,720 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to claim the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post general election by October 5, 2026, driven by poll aggregators like 338Canada projecting PQ a 64-seat plurality (55-72 range) despite a close popular vote with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 29.5%. Recent Liaison Strategies polling (April 26-28) shows a 32-32 tie overall but PQ dominating francophones at 39% versus PLQ's 21%, bolstering PQ's regional efficiency in rural strongholds. CAQ support lingers at 16% post-Françoise Fréchette's April leadership win and Legault resignation amid low approval, insufficient for recovery. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed gaps, but upcoming debates and turnout among key voting blocs could tip balances.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$489,147วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to claim the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post general election by October 5, 2026, driven by poll aggregators like 338Canada projecting PQ a 64-seat plurality (55-72 range) despite a close popular vote with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 29.5%. Recent Liaison Strategies polling (April 26-28) shows a 32-32 tie overall but PQ dominating francophones at 39% versus PLQ's 21%, bolstering PQ's regional efficiency in rural strongholds. CAQ support lingers at 16% post-Françoise Fréchette's April leadership win and Legault resignation amid low approval, insufficient for recovery. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed gaps, but upcoming debates and turnout among key voting blocs could tip balances.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$489,147วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 63.5% to claim the most seats in Quebec's first-past-the-post general election by October 5, 2026, driven by poll aggregators like 338Canada projecting PQ a 64-seat plurality (55-72 range) despite a close popular vote with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at 29.5%. Recent Liaison Strategies polling (April 26-28) shows a 32-32 tie overall but PQ dominating francophones at 39% versus PLQ's 21%, bolstering PQ's regional efficiency in rural strongholds. CAQ support lingers at 16% post-Françoise Fréchette's April leadership win and Legault resignation amid low approval, insufficient for recovery. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed gaps, but upcoming debates and turnout among key voting blocs could tip balances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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