Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 83%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 15%
PLQ 3.0%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$931,384 ปริมาณ
$931,384 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
83%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
15%
PLQ
3%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 83%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 15%
PLQ 3.0%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$931,384 ปริมาณ
$931,384 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$133,447 ปริมาณ
83%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$143,581 ปริมาณ
15%
PLQ
$139,011 ปริมาณ
3%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$251,299 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$106,523 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$931,384วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$931,384วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote support near 28-29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, while the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec has slipped to around 21-24 percent amid signs of voter fatigue. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ a high probability of securing the most seats, driven by stronger francophone support and favorable distribution in key ridings despite no clear path to a majority. The Liberals have stabilized in second place in some surveys, and the Conservatives continue to register notable gains in specific regions, though their overall seat outlook remains limited. Traders appear to price in the PQ's consistent polling edge and the structural advantages of the first-past-the-post system as the dominant factors behind current odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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