Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for NVIDIA (NVDA) shares closing the week of March 30 in the $175-$180 range, reflecting Thursday's April 2 close at $177.39 and Friday's intraday trading between $171.37 and $177.49 amid elevated volume exceeding 142 million shares. This strong positioning stems from a sharp 8% rebound from Monday's $165.17 low, fueled by news of an AI startup securing funding for a massive Nvidia-powered data center, countering prior pressures from geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns that had compressed NVDA's forward P/E to a seven-year low. While sovereign AI demand and robust data center revenue trends underpin the rally, a late-session selloff triggered by broader market volatility or renewed macro risks could realistically push the close below $175, though current levels suggest minimal risk. Next quarter's earnings on May 20 loom as a key catalyst.
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