Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance favoring the party by wide margins in federal races. Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson, first elected in 1998 and seeking another term, secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with approximately 63 percent of the vote against challengers. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces the district's entrenched partisan lean and Simpson's established record. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with limited fundraising or polling indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health events or national political shifts could still influence the November general election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,885 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$2,059 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance favoring the party by wide margins in federal races. Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson, first elected in 1998 and seeking another term, secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with approximately 63 percent of the vote against challengers. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces the district's entrenched partisan lean and Simpson's established record. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with limited fundraising or polling indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health events or national political shifts could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,944วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance favoring the party by wide margins in federal races. Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson, first elected in 1998 and seeking another term, secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with approximately 63 percent of the vote against challengers. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces the district's entrenched partisan lean and Simpson's established record. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with limited fundraising or polling indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health events or national political shifts could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,944วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance favoring the party by wide margins in federal races. Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson, first elected in 1998 and seeking another term, secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with approximately 63 percent of the vote against challengers. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces the district's entrenched partisan lean and Simpson's established record. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, with limited fundraising or polling indicating a viable path for Democrats to close the gap. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as candidate health events or national political shifts could still influence the November general election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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