February 17 100.0%
Released before February 15 <1%
February 15 <1%
February 16 <1%
$662,720 ปริมาณ
$662,720 ปริมาณ
Released before February 15
No
February 15
No
February 16
No
February 17
Yes
February 18
No
February 19
No
February 20
No
February 21
No
February 22
No
February 23
No
February 24
No
February 25
No
February 26
No
February 27
No
February 28
No
March 1
No
March 2
No
March 3
No
March 4
No
March 5
No
March 6
No
March 7
No
March 8
No
March 9
No
March 10
No
March 11
No
March 12
No
March 13
No
March 14
No
March 15
No
March 16
No
March 17
No
March 18
No
March 19
No
March 20
No
March 21
No
March 22
No
March 23
No
March 24
No
March 25
No
March 26
No
March 27
No
March 28
No
March 29
No
March 30
No
March 31
No
No release by March 31
No
February 17 100.0%
Released before February 15 <1%
February 15 <1%
February 16 <1%
$662,720 ปริมาณ
$662,720 ปริมาณ
Released before February 15
No
February 15
No
February 16
No
February 17
Yes
February 18
No
February 19
No
February 20
No
February 21
No
February 22
No
February 23
No
February 24
No
February 25
No
February 26
No
February 27
No
February 28
No
March 1
No
March 2
No
March 3
No
March 4
No
March 5
No
March 6
No
March 7
No
March 8
No
March 9
No
March 10
No
March 11
No
March 12
No
March 13
No
March 14
No
March 15
No
March 16
No
March 17
No
March 18
No
March 19
No
March 20
No
March 21
No
March 22
No
March 23
No
March 24
No
March 25
No
March 26
No
March 27
No
March 28
No
March 29
No
March 30
No
March 31
No
No release by March 31
No
This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
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