No release by January 31 100.0%
December 29 <1%
December 30 <1%
December 31 <1%
$786,219 ปริมาณ
$786,219 ปริมาณ
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
January 1
No
January 2
No
January 3
No
January 4
No
January 5
No
January 6
No
January 7
No
January 8
No
January 9
No
January 10
No
January 11
No
January 12
No
January 13
No
January 14
No
January 15
No
January 16
No
January 17
No
January 18
No
January 19
No
January 20
No
January 21
No
January 22
No
January 23
No
January 24
No
January 25
No
January 26
No
January 27
No
January 28
No
January 29
No
January 30
No
January 31
No
No release by January 31
Yes
No release by January 31 100.0%
December 29 <1%
December 30 <1%
December 31 <1%
$786,219 ปริมาณ
$786,219 ปริมาณ
December 29
No
December 30
No
December 31
No
January 1
No
January 2
No
January 3
No
January 4
No
January 5
No
January 6
No
January 7
No
January 8
No
January 9
No
January 10
No
January 11
No
January 12
No
January 13
No
January 14
No
January 15
No
January 16
No
January 17
No
January 18
No
January 19
No
January 20
No
January 21
No
January 22
No
January 23
No
January 24
No
January 25
No
January 26
No
January 27
No
January 28
No
January 29
No
January 30
No
January 31
No
No release by January 31
Yes
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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