Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June gold futures (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), as spot prices hover near $4,730 following a 2-3% rally this week. The surge stems from U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress easing Middle East tensions, pausing Strait of Hormuz escorts, weakening the U.S. dollar, and pressuring oil prices lower to counter inflation risks after March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year. Central bank accumulation—244 tonnes in Q1 2026—bolsters demand amid de-dollarization trends. Key swing factors include April CPI due May 12; hotter readings could fuel stagflation bids toward $5,000+, while softer data exposes pullback risks amid hawkish Fed undertones. Ongoing geopolitical fragility keeps upside skew alive versus base rates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGold (GC) จะตั้งรกรากที่อะไรในเดือนมิถุนายน?
Gold (GC) จะตั้งรกรากที่อะไรในเดือนมิถุนายน?
$4,600-$5,000 32%
$4,200-$4,600 26.0%
$5,000-$5,400 17.8%
$5,400-$5,800 9%
$935,306 ปริมาณ
$935,306 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
ต่ำกว่า 3,800 ดอลลาร์
2%
$3,800-$4,200
8%
$4,200-$4,600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
32%
$5,000-$5,400
18%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
3%
$4,600-$5,000 32%
$4,200-$4,600 26.0%
$5,000-$5,400 17.8%
$5,400-$5,800 9%
$935,306 ปริมาณ
$935,306 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
ต่ำกว่า 3,800 ดอลลาร์
$223,995 ปริมาณ
2%
$3,800-$4,200
$49,919 ปริมาณ
8%
$4,200-$4,600
$55,142 ปริมาณ
26%
$4,600-$5,000
$48,956 ปริมาณ
32%
$5,000-$5,400
$60,360 ปริมาณ
18%
$5,400-$5,800
$54,591 ปริมาณ
9%
$5,800-$6,200
$245,968 ปริมาณ
2%
>$6,200
$196,399 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June gold futures (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), as spot prices hover near $4,730 following a 2-3% rally this week. The surge stems from U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress easing Middle East tensions, pausing Strait of Hormuz escorts, weakening the U.S. dollar, and pressuring oil prices lower to counter inflation risks after March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year. Central bank accumulation—244 tonnes in Q1 2026—bolsters demand amid de-dollarization trends. Key swing factors include April CPI due May 12; hotter readings could fuel stagflation bids toward $5,000+, while softer data exposes pullback risks amid hawkish Fed undertones. Ongoing geopolitical fragility keeps upside skew alive versus base rates.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$935,306วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June gold futures (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), as spot prices hover near $4,730 following a 2-3% rally this week. The surge stems from U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress easing Middle East tensions, pausing Strait of Hormuz escorts, weakening the U.S. dollar, and pressuring oil prices lower to counter inflation risks after March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year. Central bank accumulation—244 tonnes in Q1 2026—bolsters demand amid de-dollarization trends. Key swing factors include April CPI due May 12; hotter readings could fuel stagflation bids toward $5,000+, while softer data exposes pullback risks amid hawkish Fed undertones. Ongoing geopolitical fragility keeps upside skew alive versus base rates.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$935,306วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June gold futures (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 (26.1%), as spot prices hover near $4,730 following a 2-3% rally this week. The surge stems from U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress easing Middle East tensions, pausing Strait of Hormuz escorts, weakening the U.S. dollar, and pressuring oil prices lower to counter inflation risks after March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year. Central bank accumulation—244 tonnes in Q1 2026—bolsters demand amid de-dollarization trends. Key swing factors include April CPI due May 12; hotter readings could fuel stagflation bids toward $5,000+, while softer data exposes pullback risks amid hawkish Fed undertones. Ongoing geopolitical fragility keeps upside skew alive versus base rates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย