Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Gold (GC) futures exceeding key thresholds by June 30, 2026, reflects a bullish bias amid persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical risks, with active month contracts settling around $4,850/oz as of April 17. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—driven by energy costs tied to US-Iran tensions, tempering Federal Reserve rate cut expectations despite earlier softer producer price index data. Robust central bank purchases, averaging 70 tonnes monthly, and ETF inflows bolster demand, countering a firm US dollar. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, May 12 April CPI release, and June 16-17 policy review, where inflation trajectory and labor data could sway the market-implied path toward $5,000/oz consensus forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGold (GC) above ___ end of June?
Gold (GC) above ___ end of June?
$63,856 ปริมาณ
$8,000
5%
$7,000
9%
$6,500
10%
$6,200
6%
$6,000
14%
$5,800
24%
$5,600
21%
$5,400
25%
$5,200
32%
$5,000
50%
$4,800
62%
$4,600
67%
$63,856 ปริมาณ
$8,000
5%
$7,000
9%
$6,500
10%
$6,200
6%
$6,000
14%
$5,800
24%
$5,600
21%
$5,400
25%
$5,200
32%
$5,000
50%
$4,800
62%
$4,600
67%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Gold (GC) futures exceeding key thresholds by June 30, 2026, reflects a bullish bias amid persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical risks, with active month contracts settling around $4,850/oz as of April 17. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—driven by energy costs tied to US-Iran tensions, tempering Federal Reserve rate cut expectations despite earlier softer producer price index data. Robust central bank purchases, averaging 70 tonnes monthly, and ETF inflows bolster demand, countering a firm US dollar. Upcoming catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, May 12 April CPI release, and June 16-17 policy review, where inflation trajectory and labor data could sway the market-implied path toward $5,000/oz consensus forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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