Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 60.5% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting June futures trading near $95 per barrel amid escalating Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks from renewed US-Iran hostilities. The EIA's latest report for the week ending May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—exceeding expectations—bolstering perceptions of tightening fundamentals despite OPEC+'s modest 188,000 barrels per day quota hike for June following UAE's group exit. Elevated Brent spot prices around $101 underscore persistent geopolitical premiums, with EIA forecasting a Q2 peak near $115 before easing; next week's inventory data and FOMC signals on risk appetite loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 61%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 7.1%
$63-$70 4.8%
$156,209 ปริมาณ
$156,209 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
7%
$77-$84
21%
>$84
61%
>$84 61%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 7.1%
$63-$70 4.8%
$156,209 ปริมาณ
$156,209 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$17,066 ปริมาณ
2%
$42-$49
$5,793 ปริมาณ
1%
$49-$56
$6,972 ปริมาณ
1%
$56-$63
$6,398 ปริมาณ
2%
$63-$70
$20,188 ปริมาณ
5%
$70-$77
$11,783 ปริมาณ
7%
$77-$84
$12,944 ปริมาณ
21%
>$84
$75,064 ปริมาณ
61%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 60.5% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting June futures trading near $95 per barrel amid escalating Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks from renewed US-Iran hostilities. The EIA's latest report for the week ending May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—exceeding expectations—bolstering perceptions of tightening fundamentals despite OPEC+'s modest 188,000 barrels per day quota hike for June following UAE's group exit. Elevated Brent spot prices around $101 underscore persistent geopolitical premiums, with EIA forecasting a Q2 peak near $115 before easing; next week's inventory data and FOMC signals on risk appetite loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$156,209วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 60.5% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting June futures trading near $95 per barrel amid escalating Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks from renewed US-Iran hostilities. The EIA's latest report for the week ending May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—exceeding expectations—bolstering perceptions of tightening fundamentals despite OPEC+'s modest 188,000 barrels per day quota hike for June following UAE's group exit. Elevated Brent spot prices around $101 underscore persistent geopolitical premiums, with EIA forecasting a Q2 peak near $115 before easing; next week's inventory data and FOMC signals on risk appetite loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$156,209วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 60.5% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, reflecting June futures trading near $95 per barrel amid escalating Strait of Hormuz supply disruption risks from renewed US-Iran hostilities. The EIA's latest report for the week ending May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—exceeding expectations—bolstering perceptions of tightening fundamentals despite OPEC+'s modest 188,000 barrels per day quota hike for June following UAE's group exit. Elevated Brent spot prices around $101 underscore persistent geopolitical premiums, with EIA forecasting a Q2 peak near $115 before easing; next week's inventory data and FOMC signals on risk appetite loom as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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