Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices heading into end-June 2026. Recent inventory draws of several million barrels per day have supported prices despite a pullback from April highs near $138, with WTI trading around $87–88 per barrel as of late May on optimism over a potential ceasefire and gradual reopening of shipping lanes. EIA data project Brent averaging near $106 through June amid ongoing supply constraints, though forecasts anticipate moderation to the mid-$80s later in the year as production recovers. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory releases, any finalization of diplomatic agreements easing Hormuz flows, and broader demand signals from global economic data, all of which could shift the balance between tight near-term fundamentals and longer-term oversupply risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$127,229 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$90
43%
$85
45%
$80
67%
$75
83%
$70
90%
$65
92%
$63
95%
$60
95%
$56
96%
$55
98%
$52
98%
$50
98%
$127,229 ปริมาณ
$90
$25,907 ปริมาณ
43%
$85
$5,802 ปริมาณ
45%
$80
$5,951 ปริมาณ
67%
$75
$16,769 ปริมาณ
83%
$70
$19,604 ปริมาณ
90%
$65
$872 ปริมาณ
92%
$63
$8,961 ปริมาณ
95%
$60
$21,068 ปริมาณ
95%
$56
$4,950 ปริมาณ
96%
$55
$2,914 ปริมาณ
98%
$52
$6,332 ปริมาณ
98%
$50
$8,100 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices heading into end-June 2026. Recent inventory draws of several million barrels per day have supported prices despite a pullback from April highs near $138, with WTI trading around $87–88 per barrel as of late May on optimism over a potential ceasefire and gradual reopening of shipping lanes. EIA data project Brent averaging near $106 through June amid ongoing supply constraints, though forecasts anticipate moderation to the mid-$80s later in the year as production recovers. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory releases, any finalization of diplomatic agreements easing Hormuz flows, and broader demand signals from global economic data, all of which could shift the balance between tight near-term fundamentals and longer-term oversupply risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127,229วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices heading into end-June 2026. Recent inventory draws of several million barrels per day have supported prices despite a pullback from April highs near $138, with WTI trading around $87–88 per barrel as of late May on optimism over a potential ceasefire and gradual reopening of shipping lanes. EIA data project Brent averaging near $106 through June amid ongoing supply constraints, though forecasts anticipate moderation to the mid-$80s later in the year as production recovers. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory releases, any finalization of diplomatic agreements easing Hormuz flows, and broader demand signals from global economic data, all of which could shift the balance between tight near-term fundamentals and longer-term oversupply risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127,229วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices heading into end-June 2026. Recent inventory draws of several million barrels per day have supported prices despite a pullback from April highs near $138, with WTI trading around $87–88 per barrel as of late May on optimism over a potential ceasefire and gradual reopening of shipping lanes. EIA data project Brent averaging near $106 through June amid ongoing supply constraints, though forecasts anticipate moderation to the mid-$80s later in the year as production recovers. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory releases, any finalization of diplomatic agreements easing Hormuz flows, and broader demand signals from global economic data, all of which could shift the balance between tight near-term fundamentals and longer-term oversupply risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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