Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 remain the dominant driver for WTI crude prices heading into late June. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened global balances, supporting benchmarks amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. Recent futures trading has placed WTI in the $87–$106 range, reflecting elevated risk premiums. Softer 2026 demand growth, revised lower due to high prices, along with potential diplomatic progress on reopening the strait and rising U.S. exports, introduce downside risks. Traders continue monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, refinery utilization, and OPEC+ output decisions for signals on near-term price paths.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$127,154 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$90
48%
$85
54%
$80
70%
$75
78%
$70
89%
$65
92%
$63
95%
$60
94%
$56
96%
$55
95%
$52
98%
$50
97%
$127,154 ปริมาณ
$90
$25,907 ปริมาณ
48%
$85
$5,793 ปริมาณ
54%
$80
$5,937 ปริมาณ
70%
$75
$16,716 ปริมาณ
78%
$70
$19,604 ปริมาณ
89%
$65
$872 ปริมาณ
92%
$63
$8,961 ปริมาณ
95%
$60
$21,068 ปริมาณ
94%
$56
$4,950 ปริมาณ
96%
$55
$2,914 ปริมาณ
95%
$52
$6,332 ปริมาณ
98%
$50
$8,100 ปริมาณ
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 remain the dominant driver for WTI crude prices heading into late June. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened global balances, supporting benchmarks amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. Recent futures trading has placed WTI in the $87–$106 range, reflecting elevated risk premiums. Softer 2026 demand growth, revised lower due to high prices, along with potential diplomatic progress on reopening the strait and rising U.S. exports, introduce downside risks. Traders continue monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, refinery utilization, and OPEC+ output decisions for signals on near-term price paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127,154วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 remain the dominant driver for WTI crude prices heading into late June. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened global balances, supporting benchmarks amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. Recent futures trading has placed WTI in the $87–$106 range, reflecting elevated risk premiums. Softer 2026 demand growth, revised lower due to high prices, along with potential diplomatic progress on reopening the strait and rising U.S. exports, introduce downside risks. Traders continue monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, refinery utilization, and OPEC+ output decisions for signals on near-term price paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127,154วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 remain the dominant driver for WTI crude prices heading into late June. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened global balances, supporting benchmarks amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. Recent futures trading has placed WTI in the $87–$106 range, reflecting elevated risk premiums. Softer 2026 demand growth, revised lower due to high prices, along with potential diplomatic progress on reopening the strait and rising U.S. exports, introduce downside risks. Traders continue monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, refinery utilization, and OPEC+ output decisions for signals on near-term price paths.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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