Recent rainfall from remnants of Hurricane Polo has eased drought across parts of the southern Plains, lowering the national drought footprint by about 7 percentage points in the latest U.S. Drought Monitor update and bringing the share of U.S. cattle inventory in drought-affected areas to roughly 52% as of early October. This positions the 45–54% range as the market’s dominant outcome, consistent with official USDA Ag in Drought tracking that overlays livestock locations with Moderate (D1) or worse conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor scale. Lingering dryness persists in portions of Texas, Oklahoma, and the Lower Mississippi Valley, while pasture ratings have ticked modestly higher. The upcoming report for the week of October 13 will reflect any further model-driven shifts in precipitation or temperature anomalies through mid-month.
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