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Kommer Israel att inleda en stor markoffensiv i Libanon före den 31 januari?

Ja

5% chance

$75,745 Omsättn.

Regler

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volym
$75,745
Slutdatum
Jan 31, 2026
Skapad
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Var försiktig med externa länkar.

Market icon

Kommer Israel att inleda en stor markoffensiv i Libanon före den 31 januari?

Ja

5% chance

$75,745 Omsättn.

Om

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volym
$75,745
Slutdatum
Jan 31, 2026
Skapad
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Var försiktig med externa länkar.