Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum and the greater capital region since recapturing it from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the government officially returning in January 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 93% against RSF capture by June 30. SAF recent military advances—retaking Bara and securing el-Obeid in North Kordofan on March 6, breaking RSF sieges in Kadugli and Dilling, and destroying RSF supply depots near Libya and Chad on March 9—have shifted momentum amid UN Security Council and US sanctions on RSF commanders for el-Fasher atrocities. RSF's March 27 seizure of Kurmuk in Blue Nile opens a supply axis toward the Nile Valley but faces SAF airstrikes, highlighting barriers to overturning SAF defenses in the three-month window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗахватят ли РНФ Хартум к 30 июня?
Захватят ли РНФ Хартум к 30 июня?
Да
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum and the greater capital region since recapturing it from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the government officially returning in January 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 93% against RSF capture by June 30. SAF recent military advances—retaking Bara and securing el-Obeid in North Kordofan on March 6, breaking RSF sieges in Kadugli and Dilling, and destroying RSF supply depots near Libya and Chad on March 9—have shifted momentum amid UN Security Council and US sanctions on RSF commanders for el-Fasher atrocities. RSF's March 27 seizure of Kurmuk in Blue Nile opens a supply axis toward the Nile Valley but faces SAF airstrikes, highlighting barriers to overturning SAF defenses in the three-month window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum and the greater capital region since recapturing it from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the government officially returning in January 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 93% against RSF capture by June 30. SAF recent military advances—retaking Bara and securing el-Obeid in North Kordofan on March 6, breaking RSF sieges in Kadugli and Dilling, and destroying RSF supply depots near Libya and Chad on March 9—have shifted momentum amid UN Security Council and US sanctions on RSF commanders for el-Fasher atrocities. RSF's March 27 seizure of Kurmuk in Blue Nile opens a supply axis toward the Nile Valley but faces SAF airstrikes, highlighting barriers to overturning SAF defenses in the three-month window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum and the greater capital region since recapturing it from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the government officially returning in January 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 93% against RSF capture by June 30. SAF recent military advances—retaking Bara and securing el-Obeid in North Kordofan on March 6, breaking RSF sieges in Kadugli and Dilling, and destroying RSF supply depots near Libya and Chad on March 9—have shifted momentum amid UN Security Council and US sanctions on RSF commanders for el-Fasher atrocities. RSF's March 27 seizure of Kurmuk in Blue Nile opens a supply axis toward the Nile Valley but faces SAF airstrikes, highlighting barriers to overturning SAF defenses in the three-month window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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