Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДостигнет ли Gold (GC) __ к концу марта?
Достигнет ли Gold (GC) __ к концу марта?
$3,575,077 Объем
↑ $10,000
Нет
↑ $7,000
Нет
↑ $6,600
Нет
↑ $6,400
Нет
↑ $6,200
Нет
↑ $6,000
Нет
↑ $5,800
Нет
↑ $5,600
Нет
↑ $5,500
Нет
↑ $5,400
Нет
↓ $5,200
Да
↓ $5 100
Да
↓ $5,000
Да
↓ $4,900
Да
↓ $4,700
Да
↓ $4,500
Да
↓ $4,300
Нет
↓ $4,000
Нет
↓ $3,600
Нет
↓ $3 000
Нет
$3,575,077 Объем
↑ $10,000
Нет
↑ $7,000
Нет
↑ $6,600
Нет
↑ $6,400
Нет
↑ $6,200
Нет
↑ $6,000
Нет
↑ $5,800
Нет
↑ $5,600
Нет
↑ $5,500
Нет
↑ $5,400
Нет
↓ $5,200
Да
↓ $5 100
Да
↓ $5,000
Да
↓ $4,900
Да
↓ $4,700
Да
↓ $4,500
Да
↓ $4,300
Нет
↓ $4,000
Нет
↓ $3,600
Нет
↓ $3 000
Нет
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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