WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures have surged over 5% in the last 24 hours to near $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—primarily driven by fresh disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating Iran tensions, amplifying supply risk premiums and overriding bearish U.S. inventory builds. The latest EIA report showed commercial crude stocks rising 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million, yet trader sentiment, backed by real capital on Polymarket, fixates on geopolitical flashpoints including potential Russian force majeure and protracted Middle East conflict. With March 31 settlement imminent, volatility spikes ahead of final EIA data and any OPEC+ signals, positioning prices sensitive to ceasefire breakthroughs or further supply threats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПопадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу марта?
Попадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу марта?
$72,621,208 Объем
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $180
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $110
23%
↑ $105
55%
↑ $100
86%
↓ $80
2%
↓ $85
3%
↓ $75
1%
↓ $70
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $65
<1%
↓ $60
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $55
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
$72,621,208 Объем
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $180
<1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $110
23%
↑ $105
55%
↑ $100
86%
↓ $80
2%
↓ $85
3%
↓ $75
1%
↓ $70
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $65
<1%
↓ $60
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $55
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 1, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures have surged over 5% in the last 24 hours to near $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—primarily driven by fresh disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating Iran tensions, amplifying supply risk premiums and overriding bearish U.S. inventory builds. The latest EIA report showed commercial crude stocks rising 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million, yet trader sentiment, backed by real capital on Polymarket, fixates on geopolitical flashpoints including potential Russian force majeure and protracted Middle East conflict. With March 31 settlement imminent, volatility spikes ahead of final EIA data and any OPEC+ signals, positioning prices sensitive to ceasefire breakthroughs or further supply threats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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