Ilia Topuria holds the UFC lightweight title after a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira at UFC 317 last summer, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for him to remain champion through 2026 despite his Q1 inactivity due to personal matters. His upcoming undisputed title unification against interim champion Justin Gaethje—fresh off a decision win over Paddy Pimblett—at UFC White House on June 14 underscores the primary near-term risk, yet Topuria's undefeated record and pound-for-pound dominance keep him favored. Arman Tsarukyan's 24% reflects his elite wrestling edge, Khabib Nurmagomedov's recent endorsement as the division's best, and booked late-2026 title contention amid his Octagon return. Oliveira's 11.3% stems from BMF success at UFC 326, while Gaethje's power punching sustains viability post-interim grab.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИлия Топурия 63%
Арман Царукян 26%
Джастин Гейджи 17.8%
Чарльз Оливейра 11.3%
$15,659 Объем
$15,659 Объем
Илия Топурия
63%
Арман Царукян
23%
Чарльз Оливейра
11%
Макс Холлоуэй
1%
Джастин Гейджи
13%
Пэдди Пимблетт
<1%
Дэн Хукер
1%
Матеуш Гамрот
<1%
Бенуа Сент-Дени
1%
Рафаэль Физиев
<1%
Ренато Мойкано
<1%
Илия Топурия 63%
Арман Царукян 26%
Джастин Гейджи 17.8%
Чарльз Оливейра 11.3%
$15,659 Объем
$15,659 Объем
Илия Топурия
63%
Арман Царукян
23%
Чарльз Оливейра
11%
Макс Холлоуэй
1%
Джастин Гейджи
13%
Пэдди Пимблетт
<1%
Дэн Хукер
1%
Матеуш Гамрот
<1%
Бенуа Сент-Дени
1%
Рафаэль Физиев
<1%
Ренато Мойкано
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria holds the UFC lightweight title after a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira at UFC 317 last summer, fueling trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for him to remain champion through 2026 despite his Q1 inactivity due to personal matters. His upcoming undisputed title unification against interim champion Justin Gaethje—fresh off a decision win over Paddy Pimblett—at UFC White House on June 14 underscores the primary near-term risk, yet Topuria's undefeated record and pound-for-pound dominance keep him favored. Arman Tsarukyan's 24% reflects his elite wrestling edge, Khabib Nurmagomedov's recent endorsement as the division's best, and booked late-2026 title contention amid his Octagon return. Oliveira's 11.3% stems from BMF success at UFC 326, while Gaethje's power punching sustains viability post-interim grab.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы