Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПэм Бонди 45.6%
Лори Чавес-ДеРемер 25%
Тулси Габбард 10.0%
Никто до 2027 года 7.1%
$2,561,329 Объем
$2,561,329 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Пэм Бонди
46%
Лори Чавес-ДеРемер
25%
Тулси Габбард
10%
Никто до 2027 года
7%
Пит Хегсет
6%
Марко Рубио
4%
Дж.Д. Вэнс
1%
Брук Роллинс
1%
Говард Латник
1%
Скотт Бессент
1%
Ли Зелдин
1%
Роберт Ф. Кеннеди мл.
<1%
Линда Макмахон
<1%
Сьюзи Уайлс
<1%
Джеймисон Грир
<1%
Майк Уолтц
<1%
Дуг Коллинз
<1%
Рассел Т. Воут
<1%
Крис Райт
<1%
Шон Даффи
<1%
Даг Бёргум
<1%
Скотт Тёрнер
<1%
Келли Лёфлер
<1%
Джон Рэтклифф
<1%
Пэм Бонди 45.6%
Лори Чавес-ДеРемер 25%
Тулси Габбард 10.0%
Никто до 2027 года 7.1%
$2,561,329 Объем
$2,561,329 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Пэм Бонди
$6,375 Объем
46%
Лори Чавес-ДеРемер
$79,093 Объем
25%
Тулси Габбард
$728,497 Объем
10%
Никто до 2027 года
$761,246 Объем
7%
Пит Хегсет
$677,648 Объем
6%
Марко Рубио
$52,325 Объем
4%
Дж.Д. Вэнс
$7,893 Объем
1%
Брук Роллинс
$7,446 Объем
1%
Говард Латник
$26,943 Объем
1%
Скотт Бессент
$5,205 Объем
1%
Ли Зелдин
$72,967 Объем
1%
Роберт Ф. Кеннеди мл.
$4,408 Объем
<1%
Линда Макмахон
$10,694 Объем
<1%
Сьюзи Уайлс
$5,451 Объем
<1%
Джеймисон Грир
$5,425 Объем
<1%
Майк Уолтц
$5,133 Объем
<1%
Дуг Коллинз
$3,928 Объем
<1%
Рассел Т. Воут
$4,822 Объем
<1%
Крис Райт
$4,680 Объем
<1%
Шон Даффи
$68,115 Объем
<1%
Даг Бёргум
$6,741 Объем
<1%
Скотт Тёрнер
$6,196 Объем
<1%
Келли Лёфлер
$5,257 Объем
<1%
Джон Рэтклифф
$4,842 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Объем
$2,561,329Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Объем
$2,561,329Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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