Slovenia and Armenia's recognitions of Palestine in early June marked the latest diplomatic shifts, following Spain, Norway, and Ireland's coordinated move in late May amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and UN General Assembly's overwhelming May vote urging full UN membership for Palestine. Over 145 countries now extend formal diplomatic recognition, mostly from Latin America, Africa, and Asia, while key holdouts including the US, UK, Germany, and France prioritize direct Israeli-Palestinian negotiations for a two-state solution. Traders monitor potential European momentum—Portugal and Malta have signaled openness—alongside the ICJ's July 19 advisory opinion on Israel's occupation and US policy changes post-November election, all within the three-year window to 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$50,007 Объем

Соединённые Штаты
7%

Италия
12%

Нидерланды
21%

Япония
15%

Германия
7%

Бельгия
32%

Финляндия
10%

Австрия
15%

Греция
9%

Новая Зеландия
24%
$50,007 Объем

Соединённые Штаты
7%

Италия
12%

Нидерланды
21%

Япония
15%

Германия
7%

Бельгия
32%

Финляндия
10%

Австрия
15%

Греция
9%

Новая Зеландия
24%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Slovenia and Armenia's recognitions of Palestine in early June marked the latest diplomatic shifts, following Spain, Norway, and Ireland's coordinated move in late May amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and UN General Assembly's overwhelming May vote urging full UN membership for Palestine. Over 145 countries now extend formal diplomatic recognition, mostly from Latin America, Africa, and Asia, while key holdouts including the US, UK, Germany, and France prioritize direct Israeli-Palestinian negotiations for a two-state solution. Traders monitor potential European momentum—Portugal and Malta have signaled openness—alongside the ICJ's July 19 advisory opinion on Israel's occupation and US policy changes post-November election, all within the three-year window to 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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