OpenAI’s rapid cadence of GPT-5.x iterative releases, including the GPT-5.5 Instant update on May 28, 2026, and ongoing refinements to reasoning and coding capabilities, has positioned mid-June as the consensus window for GPT-5.6. Traders see the June 15–21 slot carrying a 52% implied probability because it aligns with OpenAI’s historical pattern of shipping minor version bumps every three to four weeks amid competitive pressure from Microsoft’s new MAI models announced June 2. The 21.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflects typical timeline slippage for feature finalization, while earlier buckets remain low-probability outliers given the absence of any official preview or certification filings in the past week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21 51%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 13%
$61,181 Объем
$61,181 Объем
28 июн. 2026 г.
June 1–June 7
1%
June 8–June 14
13%
June 15–June 21
51%
June 22–June 28
16%
Not released by June 28
21%
June 15–June 21 51%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 13%
$61,181 Объем
$61,181 Объем
28 июн. 2026 г.
June 1–June 7
$12,151 Объем
1%
June 8–June 14
$10,672 Объем
13%
June 15–June 21
$2,611 Объем
51%
June 22–June 28
$2,001 Объем
16%
Not released by June 28
$6,608 Объем
21%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid cadence of GPT-5.x iterative releases, including the GPT-5.5 Instant update on May 28, 2026, and ongoing refinements to reasoning and coding capabilities, has positioned mid-June as the consensus window for GPT-5.6. Traders see the June 15–21 slot carrying a 52% implied probability because it aligns with OpenAI’s historical pattern of shipping minor version bumps every three to four weeks amid competitive pressure from Microsoft’s new MAI models announced June 2. The 21.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflects typical timeline slippage for feature finalization, while earlier buckets remain low-probability outliers given the absence of any official preview or certification filings in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Объем
$61,181Дата окончания
28 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid cadence of GPT-5.x iterative releases, including the GPT-5.5 Instant update on May 28, 2026, and ongoing refinements to reasoning and coding capabilities, has positioned mid-June as the consensus window for GPT-5.6. Traders see the June 15–21 slot carrying a 52% implied probability because it aligns with OpenAI’s historical pattern of shipping minor version bumps every three to four weeks amid competitive pressure from Microsoft’s new MAI models announced June 2. The 21.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflects typical timeline slippage for feature finalization, while earlier buckets remain low-probability outliers given the absence of any official preview or certification filings in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$61,181Дата окончания
28 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid cadence of GPT-5.x iterative releases, including the GPT-5.5 Instant update on May 28, 2026, and ongoing refinements to reasoning and coding capabilities, has positioned mid-June as the consensus window for GPT-5.6. Traders see the June 15–21 slot carrying a 52% implied probability because it aligns with OpenAI’s historical pattern of shipping minor version bumps every three to four weeks amid competitive pressure from Microsoft’s new MAI models announced June 2. The 21.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflects typical timeline slippage for feature finalization, while earlier buckets remain low-probability outliers given the absence of any official preview or certification filings in the past week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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