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Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-03

icon for Основные победители WA-03
Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-03

$33,090 Объем

4 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$33,090 Объем

Polymarket

Мари Глюзенкамп Перес

$4,390 Объем

93%

Джон Браун

$3,634 Объем

88%

Энтони Барран

$62 Объем

28%

Брент Хенрих

$17,598 Объем

22%

Эрик Вон

$2,888 Объем

16%

Лоуренс Келлогг

$4,118 Объем

12%

Сузанна В. Таннер

$399 Объем

29%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez dominates fundraising with over $4.5 million raised, bolstering her frontrunner status in Washington's R+2 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 8 filing deadline for the August 4 top-two primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent consolidation of Republican support behind state Senate Minority Leader John Braun—via President Trump's April 15 endorsement and the NRCC's April 27 addition to its MAGA Majority program—positions him as the likely GOP qualifier in a crowded field of 10 challengers, including Democrats Brent Hennrich, Austin Braswell, and Troy Rasband, plus several Republicans and independents. No primary polls have emerged, but district ratings range from toss-up (Cook) to lean Democratic; early voting begins July 17.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$33,090
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez dominates fundraising with over $4.5 million raised, bolstering her frontrunner status in Washington's R+2 3rd Congressional District ahead of the May 8 filing deadline for the August 4 top-two primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent consolidation of Republican support behind state Senate Minority Leader John Braun—via President Trump's April 15 endorsement and the NRCC's April 27 addition to its MAGA Majority program—positions him as the likely GOP qualifier in a crowded field of 10 challengers, including Democrats Brent Hennrich, Austin Braswell, and Troy Rasband, plus several Republicans and independents. No primary polls have emerged, but district ratings range from toss-up (Cook) to lean Democratic; early voting begins July 17.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$33,090
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Основные победители WA-03» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мари Глюзенкамп Перес» с 93%, за ним следует «Джон Браун» с 88%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 93¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Основные победители WA-03» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $33.1K с момента запуска рынка Dec 18, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Основные победители WA-03», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Основные победители WA-03» — «Мари Глюзенкамп Перес» с 93%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Джон Браун» с 88%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Основные победители WA-03» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.