**Strong pre-release tracking in the $25–35 million range, combined with the built-in audience for Colleen Hoover’s bestselling novel and the star power of Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson, and Josh Hartnett, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus toward a $28 million-plus domestic opening for the erotic psychological thriller Verity.** The Amazon MGM Studios release, directed by Michael Showalter and positioned as the latest in a series of review-resistant Hoover adaptations, benefited from solid presales and a 78% female audience skew that helped it outperform competitors like the underperforming Tom Cruise vehicle Digger. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget thrillers and positive early international results further reinforced the market-implied odds. A realistic upset below $28 million would require sharply weaker walk-up business or audience rejection despite the favorable positioning and $40 million budget.