Trader consensus prices a US sovereign debt default by 2027 at just 5%, reflecting the nation's perfect historical record of resolving debt ceiling impasses through bipartisan legislation, with Congress raising or suspending the limit 78 times since 1960 to avoid economic catastrophe. Recent Treasury Department updates indicate the current suspension expires January 2025, with extraordinary measures likely extending cash flow into mid-2025, giving the incoming 119th Congress ample time for action amid projections of rising but manageable deficits from CBO baseline forecasts. No acute fiscal cliffs loom by 2027, and political incentives across parties prioritize stability over brinkmanship, as affirmed in recent bipartisan debt talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДефолты США по долгам к 2027 году?
Дефолты США по долгам к 2027 году?
Да
$14,255 Объем
$14,255 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$14,255 Объем
$14,255 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
Объем
$14,255Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Объем
$14,255Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a US sovereign debt default by 2027 at just 5%, reflecting the nation's perfect historical record of resolving debt ceiling impasses through bipartisan legislation, with Congress raising or suspending the limit 78 times since 1960 to avoid economic catastrophe. Recent Treasury Department updates indicate the current suspension expires January 2025, with extraordinary measures likely extending cash flow into mid-2025, giving the incoming 119th Congress ample time for action amid projections of rising but manageable deficits from CBO baseline forecasts. No acute fiscal cliffs loom by 2027, and political incentives across parties prioritize stability over brinkmanship, as affirmed in recent bipartisan debt talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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