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Объявлено ли о слиянии/поглощении United x American Airlines в 2026 году?

Market icon

Объявлено ли о слиянии/поглощении United x American Airlines в 2026 году?

Да

9% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

9% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.American Airlines firmly rejected merger discussions with United Airlines on April 17, stating it is not engaged or interested, as such a combination of the two largest U.S. carriers would harm competition and consumers, even amid a potentially business-friendly Trump administration. Reports earlier that week revealed United CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea to Trump officials in February during talks on Washington Dulles upgrades, sparking brief speculation. However, antitrust experts highlight insurmountable DOJ barriers—likening it to merging Coke and Pepsi—given the airlines' dominance in routes and capacity, reinforced by recent FTC and DOJ blocks on smaller deals like JetBlue-Spirit. Trader consensus at 91% "No" reflects American's outright denial and regulatory realities, with no scheduled events likely to shift odds before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify.

An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,352
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.American Airlines firmly rejected merger discussions with United Airlines on April 17, stating it is not engaged or interested, as such a combination of the two largest U.S. carriers would harm competition and consumers, even amid a potentially business-friendly Trump administration. Reports earlier that week revealed United CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea to Trump officials in February during talks on Washington Dulles upgrades, sparking brief speculation. However, antitrust experts highlight insurmountable DOJ barriers—likening it to merging Coke and Pepsi—given the airlines' dominance in routes and capacity, reinforced by recent FTC and DOJ blocks on smaller deals like JetBlue-Spirit. Trader consensus at 91% "No" reflects American's outright denial and regulatory realities, with no scheduled events likely to shift odds before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify.

An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,352
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Объявлено ли о слиянии/поглощении United x American Airlines в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Объявлено о слиянии/поглощении United и American Airlines в 2026 году?» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 9¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 9%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Объявлено ли о слиянии/поглощении United x American Airlines в 2026 году?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Объявлено ли о слиянии/поглощении United x American Airlines в 2026 году?» — «Объявлено о слиянии/поглощении United и American Airlines в 2026 году?» всего с 9%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

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