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Мартовский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?

Market icon

Мартовский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?

$135,937 Объем

Mar 8, 2026
Polymarket

$135,937 Объем

Polymarket

Инициатива по наличным деньгам/Контр-предложение

$5,948 Объем

98%

Индивидуальное налогообложение

$105,687 Объем

39%

Инициатива SBC

$17,313 Объем

7%

Инициатива по созданию климатического фонда

$6,989 Объем

1%

Four referendums will be held on 8 March 2026 (You can read more about that here: www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/popular-vote-on-8-march-2026/):

- Issue 1: Cash initiative and counter-proposal
- Issue 2: Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC) initiative
- Issue 3: Climate fund initiative
- Issue 4: Individual taxation

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held on 8 March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Объем
$135,937
Дата окончания
Mar 8, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 12, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Four referendums will be held on 8 March 2026 (You can read more about that here: www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/popular-vote-on-8-march-2026/): - Issue 1: Cash initiative and counter-proposal - Issue 2: Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC) initiative - Issue 3: Climate fund initiative - Issue 4: Individual taxation This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held on 8 March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Мартовский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Инициатива по наличным деньгам/Контр-предложение" at 98%, followed by "Индивидуальное налогообложение" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Мартовский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?" has generated $135.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Мартовский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Мартовский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?" is "Инициатива по наличным деньгам/Контр-предложение" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Индивидуальное налогообложение" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Мартовский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.