Trader consensus positions Derek Merrin as the frontrunner at 37% implied probability for the Ohio 9th Republican primary, propelled by his double-digit lead in the latest Buckeye Battleground Poll, top fundraising totals exceeding $500,000, and endorsements from Ohio House GOP leadership including Speaker Jason Stephens. State Rep. Merrin's incumbency advantage and district familiarity solidify his edge over challengers like Josh Williams (21%), whose strong conservative voting record and veteran background appeal to the base, and Madison Sheahan (19.5%), buoyed by recent grassroots momentum and social media traction. A key recent catalyst: Merrin's fresh backing from the Ohio Republican Party executive committee, shifting odds amid tightening fields for Wayne Kinsel and others ahead of the March 19 ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДерек Меррин 40%
Алеа Надим 24.0%
Джош Уильямс 18.4%
Джейкоб Фрост 18.2%
Дерек Меррин
49%
Алеа Надим
14%
Джош Уильямс
21%
Джейкоб Фрост
18%
Уэйн Кинсел
18%
Мэдисон Шиэн
16%
Энтони Кэмпбелл
2%
Дерек Меррин 40%
Алеа Надим 24.0%
Джош Уильямс 18.4%
Джейкоб Фрост 18.2%
Дерек Меррин
49%
Алеа Надим
14%
Джош Уильямс
21%
Джейкоб Фрост
18%
Уэйн Кинсел
18%
Мэдисон Шиэн
16%
Энтони Кэмпбелл
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Derek Merrin as the frontrunner at 37% implied probability for the Ohio 9th Republican primary, propelled by his double-digit lead in the latest Buckeye Battleground Poll, top fundraising totals exceeding $500,000, and endorsements from Ohio House GOP leadership including Speaker Jason Stephens. State Rep. Merrin's incumbency advantage and district familiarity solidify his edge over challengers like Josh Williams (21%), whose strong conservative voting record and veteran background appeal to the base, and Madison Sheahan (19.5%), buoyed by recent grassroots momentum and social media traction. A key recent catalyst: Merrin's fresh backing from the Ohio Republican Party executive committee, shifting odds amid tightening fields for Wayne Kinsel and others ahead of the March 19 ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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