**No** at 92.8% reflects the absence of any indictment, arrest warrant, or active criminal prosecution against former President Barack Obama as of mid-2026. Department of Justice reviews and grand jury examinations launched in 2025 into Obama-era intelligence assessments on the 2016 Russia investigation produced referrals from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard but yielded no charges. Public statements from President Trump have called for accountability, yet officials have cited insufficient evidence for prosecution and statute-of-limitations constraints. Historical patterns show rare federal action against former presidents absent extraordinary developments. Traders price the low probability of arrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution date accordingly, with any shift dependent on new DOJ actions within the remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No** at 92.8% reflects the absence of any indictment, arrest warrant, or active criminal prosecution against former President Barack Obama as of mid-2026. Department of Justice reviews and grand jury examinations launched in 2025 into Obama-era intelligence assessments on the 2016 Russia investigation produced referrals from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard but yielded no charges. Public statements from President Trump have called for accountability, yet officials have cited insufficient evidence for prosecution and statute-of-limitations constraints. Historical patterns show rare federal action against former presidents absent extraordinary developments. Traders price the low probability of arrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution date accordingly, with any shift dependent on new DOJ actions within the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
Объем
$8,307Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No** at 92.8% reflects the absence of any indictment, arrest warrant, or active criminal prosecution against former President Barack Obama as of mid-2026. Department of Justice reviews and grand jury examinations launched in 2025 into Obama-era intelligence assessments on the 2016 Russia investigation produced referrals from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard but yielded no charges. Public statements from President Trump have called for accountability, yet officials have cited insufficient evidence for prosecution and statute-of-limitations constraints. Historical patterns show rare federal action against former presidents absent extraordinary developments. Traders price the low probability of arrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution date accordingly, with any shift dependent on new DOJ actions within the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,307Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No** at 92.8% reflects the absence of any indictment, arrest warrant, or active criminal prosecution against former President Barack Obama as of mid-2026. Department of Justice reviews and grand jury examinations launched in 2025 into Obama-era intelligence assessments on the 2016 Russia investigation produced referrals from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard but yielded no charges. Public statements from President Trump have called for accountability, yet officials have cited insufficient evidence for prosecution and statute-of-limitations constraints. Historical patterns show rare federal action against former presidents absent extraordinary developments. Traders price the low probability of arrest before the December 31, 2026 resolution date accordingly, with any shift dependent on new DOJ actions within the remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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