Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 58.5% implied probability for no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, driven by entrenched labor tensions as the current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET that day. With the 2026 season underway and no formal bargaining sessions announced in the past month, MLB owners' push for a salary cap and floor clashes sharply with the MLBPA's opposition, echoing the 99-day lockout before the 2022 deal. Recent MLBPA financial filings reveal a record $519 million war chest as of early April, signaling preparations for prolonged negotiations or work stoppage. Union chief negotiator Bruce Meyer publicly forecasted a lockout over revenue sharing and competitive balance, leaving limited time for resolution amid historical patterns of late-season brinkmanship.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 58.5% implied probability for no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, driven by entrenched labor tensions as the current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET that day. With the 2026 season underway and no formal bargaining sessions announced in the past month, MLB owners' push for a salary cap and floor clashes sharply with the MLBPA's opposition, echoing the 99-day lockout before the 2022 deal. Recent MLBPA financial filings reveal a record $519 million war chest as of early April, signaling preparations for prolonged negotiations or work stoppage. Union chief negotiator Bruce Meyer publicly forecasted a lockout over revenue sharing and competitive balance, leaving limited time for resolution amid historical patterns of late-season brinkmanship.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Объем
$6,157Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 58.5% implied probability for no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, driven by entrenched labor tensions as the current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET that day. With the 2026 season underway and no formal bargaining sessions announced in the past month, MLB owners' push for a salary cap and floor clashes sharply with the MLBPA's opposition, echoing the 99-day lockout before the 2022 deal. Recent MLBPA financial filings reveal a record $519 million war chest as of early April, signaling preparations for prolonged negotiations or work stoppage. Union chief negotiator Bruce Meyer publicly forecasted a lockout over revenue sharing and competitive balance, leaving limited time for resolution amid historical patterns of late-season brinkmanship.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,157Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 58.5% implied probability for no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, driven by entrenched labor tensions as the current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET that day. With the 2026 season underway and no formal bargaining sessions announced in the past month, MLB owners' push for a salary cap and floor clashes sharply with the MLBPA's opposition, echoing the 99-day lockout before the 2022 deal. Recent MLBPA financial filings reveal a record $519 million war chest as of early April, signaling preparations for prolonged negotiations or work stoppage. Union chief negotiator Bruce Meyer publicly forecasted a lockout over revenue sharing and competitive balance, leaving limited time for resolution amid historical patterns of late-season brinkmanship.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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