Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$420–$430 100.0%
< $380 <1%
$380–$390 <1%
$390–$400 <1%
$5,668 Объем
$5,668 Объем
< $380
Нет
$380–$390
Нет
$390–$400
Нет
$400–$410
Нет
$410–$420
Нет
$420–$430
Да
$430–$440
Нет
$440-$450
Нет
$450–$460
Нет
$460-$470
Нет
>$470
Нет
$420–$430 100.0%
< $380 <1%
$380–$390 <1%
$390–$400 <1%
$5,668 Объем
$5,668 Объем
< $380
Нет
$380–$390
Нет
$390–$400
Нет
$400–$410
Нет
$410–$420
Нет
$420–$430
Да
$430–$440
Нет
$440-$450
Нет
$450–$460
Нет
$460-$470
Нет
>$470
Нет
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Источник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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