Trader consensus in the 2026 AL home run leader market reflects a tightly bunched field, with Aaron Judge holding a slim edge at 20.5% implied probability over Cal Raleigh (19.5%) and Bobby Witt Jr. (19.0%), underscoring the depth of power hitters amid uncertain trajectories. Judge's record 58 homers in 2024 cemented his status as AL MVP favorite, but at age 33 next season, traders weigh regression risks against younger risers like Witt's breakout .332 average and 32 long balls driving Royals' playoff push, Raleigh's 34 catcher homers, and Gunnar Henderson's 37 blasts. Prospect Nick Kurtz, Oakland's power-laden No. 4 draft pick, adds upside, while Yordan Alvarez's consistency and Julio Rodríguez's rebound potential keep the race competitive post-winter meetings with stable rosters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMLB: 2026 AL Хэнк Аарон Победитель
MLB: 2026 AL Хэнк Аарон Победитель
Гуннар Хендерсон 36%
Йордан Альварес 26%
Аарон Джадж 24.7%
Кал Рэли 21%
Гуннар Хендерсон
36%
Йордан Альварес
26%
Аарон Джадж
25%
Кал Рэли
21%
Бобби Уитт-младший
19%
Ник Курц
11%
Хулио Родригес
10%
Кори Сигер
9%
Владимир Герреро-младший
7%
Хосе Рамирес
7%
Гуннар Хендерсон 36%
Йордан Альварес 26%
Аарон Джадж 24.7%
Кал Рэли 21%
Гуннар Хендерсон
36%
Йордан Альварес
26%
Аарон Джадж
25%
Кал Рэли
21%
Бобби Уитт-младший
19%
Ник Курц
11%
Хулио Родригес
10%
Кори Сигер
9%
Владимир Герреро-младший
7%
Хосе Рамирес
7%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the 2026 AL home run leader market reflects a tightly bunched field, with Aaron Judge holding a slim edge at 20.5% implied probability over Cal Raleigh (19.5%) and Bobby Witt Jr. (19.0%), underscoring the depth of power hitters amid uncertain trajectories. Judge's record 58 homers in 2024 cemented his status as AL MVP favorite, but at age 33 next season, traders weigh regression risks against younger risers like Witt's breakout .332 average and 32 long balls driving Royals' playoff push, Raleigh's 34 catcher homers, and Gunnar Henderson's 37 blasts. Prospect Nick Kurtz, Oakland's power-laden No. 4 draft pick, adds upside, while Yordan Alvarez's consistency and Julio Rodríguez's rebound potential keep the race competitive post-winter meetings with stable rosters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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