Market icon
Политика·Выборы мэра

Победитель выборов мэра Марселя

Market icon
Политика·Выборы мэра

Победитель выборов мэра Марселя

Бенуа Паян 100.0%

Эрван Даву <1%

Франк Аллизио <1%

Себастьян Делогу <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 Объем

Бенуа Паян 100.0%

Эрван Даву <1%

Франк Аллизио <1%

Себастьян Делогу <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 Объем

Market icon

Бенуа Паян

$208,644 Объем

Да

Market icon

Эрван Даву

$72,481 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Франк Аллизио

$0 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Себастьян Делогу

$0 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Мартин Вассаль

$0 Объем

Нет

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$281,124
Дата окончания
22 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Да

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$281,124
Дата окончания
22 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Марселя» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Бенуа Паян» с 100%, за ним следует «Эрван Даву» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов мэра Марселя» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $281.1K с момента запуска рынка Jan 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Марселя», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Марселя» — «Бенуа Паян» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Эрван Даву» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Марселя» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.