Traders are pricing the May 2026 ISM Services PMI across a narrow band of outcomes from sub-47 to 55-plus, with each major bucket attracting roughly 46-47% implied probability and minimal differentiation among them. This tight clustering reflects balanced uncertainty in services-sector activity, where recent labor-market cooling and mixed consumer-spending signals have offset resilient new-orders trends. Market-implied odds embed the latest available regional Fed surveys and ADP employment data but remain sensitive to the final composite, which weights employment, business activity, and supplier deliveries equally. With the release imminent, any surprise in the employment component or price index could quickly shift probabilities across the 50 threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено55,0+ 94%
50,0–50,9 47%
52,0–52,9 47%
48,0–48,9 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июн. 2026 г.
<47.0
22%
47,0–47,9
37%
48,0–48,9
38%
49,0–49,9
47%
50,0–50,9
47%
51,0–51,9
47%
52,0–52,9
47%
53,0–53,9
42%
54,0–54,9
47%
55,0+
94%
55,0+ 94%
50,0–50,9 47%
52,0–52,9 47%
48,0–48,9 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июн. 2026 г.
<47.0
$263 Объем
22%
47,0–47,9
$89 Объем
37%
48,0–48,9
$89 Объем
38%
49,0–49,9
$89 Объем
47%
50,0–50,9
$89 Объем
47%
51,0–51,9
$89 Объем
47%
52,0–52,9
$89 Объем
47%
53,0–53,9
$147 Объем
42%
54,0–54,9
$89 Объем
47%
55,0+
$89 Объем
94%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing the May 2026 ISM Services PMI across a narrow band of outcomes from sub-47 to 55-plus, with each major bucket attracting roughly 46-47% implied probability and minimal differentiation among them. This tight clustering reflects balanced uncertainty in services-sector activity, where recent labor-market cooling and mixed consumer-spending signals have offset resilient new-orders trends. Market-implied odds embed the latest available regional Fed surveys and ADP employment data but remain sensitive to the final composite, which weights employment, business activity, and supplier deliveries equally. With the release imminent, any surprise in the employment component or price index could quickly shift probabilities across the 50 threshold.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Объем
$1,124Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing the May 2026 ISM Services PMI across a narrow band of outcomes from sub-47 to 55-plus, with each major bucket attracting roughly 46-47% implied probability and minimal differentiation among them. This tight clustering reflects balanced uncertainty in services-sector activity, where recent labor-market cooling and mixed consumer-spending signals have offset resilient new-orders trends. Market-implied odds embed the latest available regional Fed surveys and ADP employment data but remain sensitive to the final composite, which weights employment, business activity, and supplier deliveries equally. With the release imminent, any surprise in the employment component or price index could quickly shift probabilities across the 50 threshold.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$1,124Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the May 2026 ISM Services PMI across a narrow band of outcomes from sub-47 to 55-plus, with each major bucket attracting roughly 46-47% implied probability and minimal differentiation among them. This tight clustering reflects balanced uncertainty in services-sector activity, where recent labor-market cooling and mixed consumer-spending signals have offset resilient new-orders trends. Market-implied odds embed the latest available regional Fed surveys and ADP employment data but remain sensitive to the final composite, which weights employment, business activity, and supplier deliveries equally. With the release imminent, any surprise in the employment component or price index could quickly shift probabilities across the 50 threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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