Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated following the May 2025 Operation Sindoor airstrikes, India's retaliation to a deadly Pahalgam terror attack in Kashmir that killed 26 civilians, prompting a four-day standoff and international ceasefire brokerage. US think tanks warned in late 2025 of a likely 2026 armed conflict triggered by heightened terrorist activity along the Line of Control. On March 28, India's Cabinet Committee on Security convened urgently, with NSA Ajit Doval meeting defense and external affairs ministers, tri-service chiefs, and PM Modi consulting chief ministers amid Jodhpur airport closure and Jaisalmer siren tests—signaling heightened border preparedness. Pakistan President Zardari urged talks on March 3, claiming Indian war preparations. No verified strikes occurred in the past 30 days, but traders monitor for terror incidents or diplomatic escalations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИндия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
Индия наносит удар по Пакистану...?
$917,469 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
1%
31 декабря 2026 года
30%
$917,469 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
1%
31 декабря 2026 года
30%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated following the May 2025 Operation Sindoor airstrikes, India's retaliation to a deadly Pahalgam terror attack in Kashmir that killed 26 civilians, prompting a four-day standoff and international ceasefire brokerage. US think tanks warned in late 2025 of a likely 2026 armed conflict triggered by heightened terrorist activity along the Line of Control. On March 28, India's Cabinet Committee on Security convened urgently, with NSA Ajit Doval meeting defense and external affairs ministers, tri-service chiefs, and PM Modi consulting chief ministers amid Jodhpur airport closure and Jaisalmer siren tests—signaling heightened border preparedness. Pakistan President Zardari urged talks on March 3, claiming Indian war preparations. No verified strikes occurred in the past 30 days, but traders monitor for terror incidents or diplomatic escalations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы