Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peaks of 33–34°C under clear skies, light winds, and high solar insolation typical of April's late dry season. Recent satellite imagery confirms minimal cloud cover and stable high-pressure ridging over Central America, aligning with climatological norms where April highs average 32°C and rarely fall below 30°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or enhanced sea-breeze cooling, potentially capping temperatures at 31°C, with final observations from the airport station resolving the market by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 18 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Панаме 18 апреля?
32°C or higher 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,526 Объем
$32,526 Объем
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,526 Объем
$32,526 Объем
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peaks of 33–34°C under clear skies, light winds, and high solar insolation typical of April's late dry season. Recent satellite imagery confirms minimal cloud cover and stable high-pressure ridging over Central America, aligning with climatological norms where April highs average 32°C and rarely fall below 30°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or enhanced sea-breeze cooling, potentially capping temperatures at 31°C, with final observations from the airport station resolving the market by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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