PAGASA's latest forecast for Metro Manila on April 18 projects a daytime high of 34°C under mostly clear skies driven by easterlies and a lingering ridge of high pressure, aligning with dry season climatology where April averages 33–36°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment incorporating urban heat island amplification in Manila proper, recent observations of peaks slightly surpassing model outputs (e.g., 36.2°C air temperature last week), and historical station data from Quezon City's Science Garden. Realistic challenges include isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping below 35°C or intensified solar heating exceeding to 36°C before daily close. Updated hourly advisories expected later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?
35°C 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$23,445 Объем
$23,445 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$23,445 Объем
$23,445 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
35°C
$3,207 Объем
100%
36°C
$1,672 Объем
<1%
37°C
$2,137 Объем
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,954 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast for Metro Manila on April 18 projects a daytime high of 34°C under mostly clear skies driven by easterlies and a lingering ridge of high pressure, aligning with dry season climatology where April averages 33–36°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment incorporating urban heat island amplification in Manila proper, recent observations of peaks slightly surpassing model outputs (e.g., 36.2°C air temperature last week), and historical station data from Quezon City's Science Garden. Realistic challenges include isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping below 35°C or intensified solar heating exceeding to 36°C before daily close. Updated hourly advisories expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Объем
$23,445Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast for Metro Manila on April 18 projects a daytime high of 34°C under mostly clear skies driven by easterlies and a lingering ridge of high pressure, aligning with dry season climatology where April averages 33–36°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment incorporating urban heat island amplification in Manila proper, recent observations of peaks slightly surpassing model outputs (e.g., 36.2°C air temperature last week), and historical station data from Quezon City's Science Garden. Realistic challenges include isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping below 35°C or intensified solar heating exceeding to 36°C before daily close. Updated hourly advisories expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$23,445Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast for Metro Manila on April 18 projects a daytime high of 34°C under mostly clear skies driven by easterlies and a lingering ridge of high pressure, aligning with dry season climatology where April averages 33–36°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment incorporating urban heat island amplification in Manila proper, recent observations of peaks slightly surpassing model outputs (e.g., 36.2°C air temperature last week), and historical station data from Quezon City's Science Garden. Realistic challenges include isolated afternoon thunderstorms capping below 35°C or intensified solar heating exceeding to 36°C before daily close. Updated hourly advisories expected later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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