The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 апреля?
28°C 100.0%
20°C или ниже <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$375,526 Объем
$375,526 Объем
20°C или ниже
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Да
29°C
Нет
30°C или выше
Нет
28°C 100.0%
20°C или ниже <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$375,526 Объем
$375,526 Объем
20°C или ниже
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Да
29°C
Нет
30°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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