Trader consensus favors 64-65°F (35.5% implied probability) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 17, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs in the low-to-mid 60s amid lingering effects of a recent cool front and upper-level trough over the Southern Plains. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS ensembles skew slightly cooler toward 62-63°F due to persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, while ECMWF hints at 66-67°F if diurnal heating strengthens under partial clearing; historical March 17 averages hover near 66°F, but current dew points in the 40s limit instability. Key upcoming catalyst: 12z model runs today, with NWS Dallas-Fort Worth watches for minor deviations from climatological norms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on March 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 17?
64-65°F 38%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 16%
60-61°F 13%
$56,666 Объем
$56,666 Объем
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 38%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 16%
60-61°F 13%
$56,666 Объем
$56,666 Объем
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 64-65°F (35.5% implied probability) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 17, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs in the low-to-mid 60s amid lingering effects of a recent cool front and upper-level trough over the Southern Plains. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS ensembles skew slightly cooler toward 62-63°F due to persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, while ECMWF hints at 66-67°F if diurnal heating strengthens under partial clearing; historical March 17 averages hover near 66°F, but current dew points in the 40s limit instability. Key upcoming catalyst: 12z model runs today, with NWS Dallas-Fort Worth watches for minor deviations from climatological norms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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