Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward a June gold (GC) futures settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 18.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 17.3%, as easing U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve rate cut expectations—priced at over 70% for September per CME FedWatch—propel bullish positioning amid a weakening dollar index below 104. Recent spot gold highs above $2,750/oz reflect central bank buying from China and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, yet tight competition hinges on upcoming nonfarm payrolls and FOMC signals; hotter-than-expected jobs data could pivot odds lower to $3,800-$4,200 (14.8%), while sustained USD softness favors upside bins like $5,000+ (14.7%). Market-implied consensus clusters around mid-$4,000s, acknowledging volatility from Treasury yields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
На что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
$4,600-$5,000 19%
$4 200–$4 600 17.5%
$3,800–$4,200 14.8%
$5,000–$5,400 14.7%
$367,820 Объем
$367,820 Объем
< $3,800
10%
$3,800–$4,200
15%
$4 200–$4 600
18%
$4,600-$5,000
19%
$5,000–$5,400
15%
$5,400–$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
9%
>$6 200
7%
$4,600-$5,000 19%
$4 200–$4 600 17.5%
$3,800–$4,200 14.8%
$5,000–$5,400 14.7%
$367,820 Объем
$367,820 Объем
< $3,800
10%
$3,800–$4,200
15%
$4 200–$4 600
18%
$4,600-$5,000
19%
$5,000–$5,400
15%
$5,400–$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
9%
>$6 200
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward a June gold (GC) futures settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 18.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 17.3%, as easing U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve rate cut expectations—priced at over 70% for September per CME FedWatch—propel bullish positioning amid a weakening dollar index below 104. Recent spot gold highs above $2,750/oz reflect central bank buying from China and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, yet tight competition hinges on upcoming nonfarm payrolls and FOMC signals; hotter-than-expected jobs data could pivot odds lower to $3,800-$4,200 (14.8%), while sustained USD softness favors upside bins like $5,000+ (14.7%). Market-implied consensus clusters around mid-$4,000s, acknowledging volatility from Treasury yields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы