Trader sentiment on Polymarket for June gold (GC) settlement prices clusters tightly around $4,200-$5,400, with $4,600-$5,000 leading at 21% implied probability, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the USD and amplifying gold's inflation-hedge appeal amid persistent CPI pressures above 2.5%. Recent central bank purchases, especially from China exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually, and escalating Middle East tensions have fueled safe-haven bids, pushing spot gold past $2,700/oz. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming FOMC December meeting and January CPI data: softer inflation could lift odds toward $5,000+ via accelerated easing, while resilient U.S. growth risks capping at $4,600 via higher real yields, underscoring traders' balanced yet bullish consensus backed by real capital at stake.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
На что будет рассчитываться Gold (GC) в июне?
$4 200–$4 600 21.3%
$4,600-$5,000 21%
$5,000–$5,400 16.4%
$5,400–$5,800 11%
$420,670 Объем
$420,670 Объем
< $3,800
8%
$3,800–$4,200
10%
$4 200–$4 600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
21%
$5,000–$5,400
16%
$5,400–$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
10%
>$6 200
7%
$4 200–$4 600 21.3%
$4,600-$5,000 21%
$5,000–$5,400 16.4%
$5,400–$5,800 11%
$420,670 Объем
$420,670 Объем
< $3,800
8%
$3,800–$4,200
10%
$4 200–$4 600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
21%
$5,000–$5,400
16%
$5,400–$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
10%
>$6 200
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for June gold (GC) settlement prices clusters tightly around $4,200-$5,400, with $4,600-$5,000 leading at 21% implied probability, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the USD and amplifying gold's inflation-hedge appeal amid persistent CPI pressures above 2.5%. Recent central bank purchases, especially from China exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually, and escalating Middle East tensions have fueled safe-haven bids, pushing spot gold past $2,700/oz. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming FOMC December meeting and January CPI data: softer inflation could lift odds toward $5,000+ via accelerated easing, while resilient U.S. growth risks capping at $4,600 via higher real yields, underscoring traders' balanced yet bullish consensus backed by real capital at stake.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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