Spain's overwhelming 80.5% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, topping Group E with a record 30-game competitive unbeaten streak, bolstered by recent March friendlies including a 3-0 win over Serbia. The fresh FIFA World Cup 2026 group draw on March 31 positions La Roja against Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, and debutants Cape Verde, amplifying trader consensus on their squad depth featuring Pedri, Rodri, and Lamine Yamal against weaker opposition. Uruguay's 16% reflects CONMEBOL qualification via fourth place under Marcelo Bielsa and potential in the marquee Spain clash, while Saudi Arabia (FIFA rank 61) and Cape Verde (69) linger as dark horses with upset pedigree but limited firepower in this group of death.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИспания 81%
Уругвай 16%
Саудовская Аравия 2.4%
Кабо-Верде 2.3%
$70,501 Объем
$70,501 Объем
Испания
81%
Уругвай
16%
Саудовская Аравия
2%
Кабо-Верде
2%
Испания 81%
Уругвай 16%
Саудовская Аравия 2.4%
Кабо-Верде 2.3%
$70,501 Объем
$70,501 Объем
Испания
81%
Уругвай
16%
Саудовская Аравия
2%
Кабо-Верде
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's overwhelming 80.5% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their unbeaten UEFA qualifying campaign, topping Group E with a record 30-game competitive unbeaten streak, bolstered by recent March friendlies including a 3-0 win over Serbia. The fresh FIFA World Cup 2026 group draw on March 31 positions La Roja against Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, and debutants Cape Verde, amplifying trader consensus on their squad depth featuring Pedri, Rodri, and Lamine Yamal against weaker opposition. Uruguay's 16% reflects CONMEBOL qualification via fourth place under Marcelo Bielsa and potential in the marquee Spain clash, while Saudi Arabia (FIFA rank 61) and Cape Verde (69) linger as dark horses with upset pedigree but limited firepower in this group of death.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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