Turkey's dramatic qualification through UEFA play-off victories over Romania and Kosovo on March 31 has surged their implied probability to 38.5% as Group D winner, nearly matching USA's 40% trader consensus, underscoring the group's razor-thin margins. As co-hosts, USA hold home advantage with matches at Seattle Stadium and Los Angeles against Australia and Turkey, bolstered by recent CONCACAF form, but Turkey's attacking flair and momentum from Nations League success challenge them directly. Paraguay's gritty 6th-place CONMEBOL finish (16%) and Australia's resilient Socceroos campaign (7.5%) ensure no easy points, with head-to-head results, goal difference, and advancement via top-two or best-third spots hinging on tight fixtures in June.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСША 40%
Косово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция 39%
Парагвай 16%
Австралия 7.5%
$14,941 Объем
$14,941 Объем
США
40%
Косово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция
39%
Парагвай
16%
Австралия
8%
США 40%
Косово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция 39%
Парагвай 16%
Австралия 7.5%
$14,941 Объем
$14,941 Объем
США
40%
Косово/Румыния/Словакия/Турция
39%
Парагвай
16%
Австралия
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Turkey's dramatic qualification through UEFA play-off victories over Romania and Kosovo on March 31 has surged their implied probability to 38.5% as Group D winner, nearly matching USA's 40% trader consensus, underscoring the group's razor-thin margins. As co-hosts, USA hold home advantage with matches at Seattle Stadium and Los Angeles against Australia and Turkey, bolstered by recent CONCACAF form, but Turkey's attacking flair and momentum from Nations League success challenge them directly. Paraguay's gritty 6th-place CONMEBOL finish (16%) and Australia's resilient Socceroos campaign (7.5%) ensure no easy points, with head-to-head results, goal difference, and advancement via top-two or best-third spots hinging on tight fixtures in June.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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