Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position at Suzuka, earned with a 1:28.778 lap ahead of teammate George Russell by nearly three tenths, anchors trader consensus at 57% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix winner, reflecting Mercedes' dominant weekend pace across FP1 (Russell-Antonelli 1-2), FP2 (Mercedes duo second and third behind Piastri), and FP3 (Antonelli quickest). Russell's consistent proximity, including FP1 top time and Q2 strength, sustains his 33.5% standing as the prime challenger, bolstered by the Silver Arrows' superior one-lap speed and race simulations. McLaren's Piastri and Norris showed FP2 promise but trailed in qualifying, while Red Bull's struggles sidelined Verstappen, emphasizing Mercedes' front-row lock-in on the overtaking-challenged Suzuka layout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоAndrea Kimi Antonelli 57%
George Russell 34%
Charles Leclerc 4.3%
Oscar Piastri 3.7%
$814,981 Объем
$814,981 Объем
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
57%
George Russell
34%
Charles Leclerc
4%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Max Verstappen
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 57%
George Russell 34%
Charles Leclerc 4.3%
Oscar Piastri 3.7%
$814,981 Объем
$814,981 Объем
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
57%
George Russell
34%
Charles Leclerc
4%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Max Verstappen
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position at Suzuka, earned with a 1:28.778 lap ahead of teammate George Russell by nearly three tenths, anchors trader consensus at 57% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix winner, reflecting Mercedes' dominant weekend pace across FP1 (Russell-Antonelli 1-2), FP2 (Mercedes duo second and third behind Piastri), and FP3 (Antonelli quickest). Russell's consistent proximity, including FP1 top time and Q2 strength, sustains his 33.5% standing as the prime challenger, bolstered by the Silver Arrows' superior one-lap speed and race simulations. McLaren's Piastri and Norris showed FP2 promise but trailed in qualifying, while Red Bull's struggles sidelined Verstappen, emphasizing Mercedes' front-row lock-in on the overtaking-challenged Suzuka layout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы