Trader consensus for the Japanese Grand Prix Practice 3 fastest lap shows an exceptionally tight race at the top, with Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Lewis Hamilton, George Russell, and Arvid Lindblad all tied at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting Suzuka's demanding high-speed corners where low-fuel qualifying simulations often produce bunched lap times across top teams. Mercedes' strong chassis balance suits the track's 1.3km straight and technical Esses, boosting Hamilton and Russell alongside rookie Antonelli's recent testing pace, while Lindblad's Red Bull junior program highlights simulator data favoring their setup. Pierre Gasly (36.5%) and Max Verstappen (35%) trail closely amid even pre-session form from winter testing and P1/P2 sessions, where soft tire runs showed parity in sector times; no major injury or mechanical issues alter the field, keeping upset potential high for the Saturday morning session before qualifying.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоGeorge Russell 38%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 30%
Charles Leclerc 28%
Lewis Hamilton 28%
George Russell
38%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
30%
Charles Leclerc
28%
Lewis Hamilton
28%
Max Verstappen
20%
Pierre Gasly
19%
Isack Hadjar
18%
Lando Norris
16%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Esteban Ocon
14%
Nico Hulkenberg
14%
Oliver Bearman
14%
Arvid Lindblad
14%
Liam Lawson
14%
Fernando Alonso
8%
Franco Colapinto
8%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
4%
Alexander Albon
4%
Sergio Perez
3%
Valtteri Bottas
3%
George Russell 38%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 30%
Charles Leclerc 28%
Lewis Hamilton 28%
George Russell
38%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
30%
Charles Leclerc
28%
Lewis Hamilton
28%
Max Verstappen
20%
Pierre Gasly
19%
Isack Hadjar
18%
Lando Norris
16%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Esteban Ocon
14%
Nico Hulkenberg
14%
Oliver Bearman
14%
Arvid Lindblad
14%
Liam Lawson
14%
Fernando Alonso
8%
Franco Colapinto
8%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
4%
Alexander Albon
4%
Sergio Perez
3%
Valtteri Bottas
3%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 3, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 3 as published by the FIA. If Practice 3 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the Japanese Grand Prix Practice 3 fastest lap shows an exceptionally tight race at the top, with Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Lewis Hamilton, George Russell, and Arvid Lindblad all tied at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting Suzuka's demanding high-speed corners where low-fuel qualifying simulations often produce bunched lap times across top teams. Mercedes' strong chassis balance suits the track's 1.3km straight and technical Esses, boosting Hamilton and Russell alongside rookie Antonelli's recent testing pace, while Lindblad's Red Bull junior program highlights simulator data favoring their setup. Pierre Gasly (36.5%) and Max Verstappen (35%) trail closely amid even pre-session form from winter testing and P1/P2 sessions, where soft tire runs showed parity in sector times; no major injury or mechanical issues alter the field, keeping upset potential high for the Saturday morning session before qualifying.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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