Mercedes' commanding practice pace at Suzuka, topping FP1 and FP3 with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli locking out the front row in both sessions—Russell fastest in FP1 ahead of Antonelli, and Antonelli leading Russell by just 0.254s in FP3—has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the constructor to score first at the Japanese Grand Prix. Ferrari trails at 18.5% after Charles Leclerc's P3 in FP3 despite earlier struggles and fresh upgrades, while McLaren's 10.0% reflects Oscar Piastri's FP2 pole but Norris' reliability woes and a P4/P6 in FP3. Red Bull's 7.5% lags amid handling issues at Turn 13 despite new floor and sidepod revisions, with midfield teams like Alpine and Haas further back on pure pace. Qualifying looms as the next sentiment shifter ahead of Sunday's race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMercedes 76%
Ferrari 19%
Alpine 13%
Audi Revolut 13%
Mercedes
76%
Ferrari
19%
Alpine
13%
Audi Revolut
13%
Red Bull
13%
Tgr Haas
12%
Mclaren Mastercard
10%
Racing Bulls
10%
Williams
4%
Aston Martin
1%
Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 76%
Ferrari 19%
Alpine 13%
Audi Revolut 13%
Mercedes
76%
Ferrari
19%
Alpine
13%
Audi Revolut
13%
Red Bull
13%
Tgr Haas
12%
Mclaren Mastercard
10%
Racing Bulls
10%
Williams
4%
Aston Martin
1%
Cadillac
<1%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' commanding practice pace at Suzuka, topping FP1 and FP3 with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli locking out the front row in both sessions—Russell fastest in FP1 ahead of Antonelli, and Antonelli leading Russell by just 0.254s in FP3—has solidified trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability for the constructor to score first at the Japanese Grand Prix. Ferrari trails at 18.5% after Charles Leclerc's P3 in FP3 despite earlier struggles and fresh upgrades, while McLaren's 10.0% reflects Oscar Piastri's FP2 pole but Norris' reliability woes and a P4/P6 in FP3. Red Bull's 7.5% lags amid handling issues at Turn 13 despite new floor and sidepod revisions, with midfield teams like Alpine and Haas further back on pure pace. Qualifying looms as the next sentiment shifter ahead of Sunday's race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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