Mercedes' front-row lockout with Antonelli on pole and Russell alongside after dominant FP3 times has not swayed traders, who price Audi Revolut, TGR Haas, and Racing Bulls as co-favorites at 49.8% implied probability for fastest lap due to their strong FP2 long-run pace—trailing leaders by just 1.3-1.55s per lap on mediums amid Suzuka's high thermal demands. New 2026 active aero and sustainable fuel regs have compressed the midfield, enabling late-race soft tire splashes for purple sectors from teams like Aston Martin and Cadillac showing clean high-speed consistency. McLaren's qualifying threat faded in race sims, while Red Bull's deficit widened, keeping the constructor field tightly bunched ahead of one-stop medium-hard strategies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоRed Bull 89%
Alpine 0
Aston Martin 0
Williams 0
Red Bull
89%
Alpine
47%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
47%
Audi Revolut
49%
Cadillac
48%
Ferrari
-
Tgr Haas
49%
Mclaren Mastercard
46%
Mercedes
55%
Racing Bulls
50%
Red Bull 89%
Alpine 0
Aston Martin 0
Williams 0
Red Bull
89%
Alpine
47%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
47%
Audi Revolut
49%
Cadillac
48%
Ferrari
-
Tgr Haas
49%
Mclaren Mastercard
46%
Mercedes
55%
Racing Bulls
50%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' front-row lockout with Antonelli on pole and Russell alongside after dominant FP3 times has not swayed traders, who price Audi Revolut, TGR Haas, and Racing Bulls as co-favorites at 49.8% implied probability for fastest lap due to their strong FP2 long-run pace—trailing leaders by just 1.3-1.55s per lap on mediums amid Suzuka's high thermal demands. New 2026 active aero and sustainable fuel regs have compressed the midfield, enabling late-race soft tire splashes for purple sectors from teams like Aston Martin and Cadillac showing clean high-speed consistency. McLaren's qualifying threat faded in race sims, while Red Bull's deficit widened, keeping the constructor field tightly bunched ahead of one-stop medium-hard strategies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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