Trader consensus slightly favors Ferrari at 54% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor fastest lap, reflecting Charles Leclerc's strong fourth-place qualifying lap just 0.3 seconds off Max Verstappen's pole time for Red Bull, amid tight top-team pace. Mercedes (47%) benefits from Lewis Hamilton's P6 and George Russell's P7, with both squads showing competitive long-run simulations in FP2 and FP3 where Verstappen topped sessions for Red Bull (41%) and Lando Norris/Piastri shone for McLaren (39.5%). Midfield constructors like Alpine, Haas, and others cluster around 38-39% due to Suzuka's high-speed sectors rewarding bold soft-tire pushes and DRS assists late-race, keeping the market bunched as no team dominates outright one-lap speed. Dry weather and full grids amplify upset potential from tire strategy or traffic breaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоAlpine 78%
Audi Revolut 78%
Tgr Haas 78%
Racing Bulls 78%
Alpine
78%
Audi Revolut
78%
Tgr Haas
78%
Racing Bulls
78%
Cadillac
77%
Ferrari
54%
Mercedes
47%
Red Bull
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
40%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
-
Alpine 78%
Audi Revolut 78%
Tgr Haas 78%
Racing Bulls 78%
Alpine
78%
Audi Revolut
78%
Tgr Haas
78%
Racing Bulls
78%
Cadillac
77%
Ferrari
54%
Mercedes
47%
Red Bull
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
40%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
-
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Ferrari at 54% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor fastest lap, reflecting Charles Leclerc's strong fourth-place qualifying lap just 0.3 seconds off Max Verstappen's pole time for Red Bull, amid tight top-team pace. Mercedes (47%) benefits from Lewis Hamilton's P6 and George Russell's P7, with both squads showing competitive long-run simulations in FP2 and FP3 where Verstappen topped sessions for Red Bull (41%) and Lando Norris/Piastri shone for McLaren (39.5%). Midfield constructors like Alpine, Haas, and others cluster around 38-39% due to Suzuka's high-speed sectors rewarding bold soft-tire pushes and DRS assists late-race, keeping the market bunched as no team dominates outright one-lap speed. Dry weather and full grids amplify upset potential from tire strategy or traffic breaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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